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Mexico

Mexico City Grand Prix

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Mexico City·Mexico City, Mexico·November 1, 2026

4/4 models predict M VERSTAPPEN wins — Claude Sonnet, Gemini Flash, GPT, Grok

Pos
Claude Sonnet
Gemini Flash
GPT
Grok
1
M VERSTAPPEN
M VERSTAPPEN
M VERSTAPPEN
M VERSTAPPEN
2
C LECLERC
C LECLERC
C LECLERC
K ANTONELLI
3
K ANTONELLI
K ANTONELLI
K ANTONELLI
C LECLERC
4
L HAMILTON
L HAMILTON
L HAMILTON
L HAMILTON
5
L NORRIS
L NORRIS
L NORRIS
L NORRIS
6
O PIASTRI
O PIASTRI
O PIASTRI
O PIASTRI
7
G RUSSELL
G RUSSELL
G RUSSELL
G RUSSELL
8
I HADJAR
I HADJAR
I HADJAR
I HADJAR
9
L LAWSON
L LAWSON
L LAWSON
L LAWSON
10
P GASLY
P GASLY
N HULKENBERG
N HULKENBERG
FLC LECLERCC LECLERCC LECLERCC LECLERC
Win odds
M VERSTAPPEN
28%
C LECLERC
23%
K ANTONELLI
15%
L HAMILTON
10%
L NORRIS
8%
O PIASTRI
6%
M VERSTAPPEN
35%
C LECLERC
28%
K ANTONELLI
18%
L HAMILTON
8%
L NORRIS
5%
O PIASTRI
3%
M VERSTAPPEN
25%
C LECLERC
19%
K ANTONELLI
17%
L HAMILTON
10%
L NORRIS
8%
O PIASTRI
6%
M VERSTAPPEN
27%
K ANTONELLI
22%
C LECLERC
17%
L HAMILTON
9%
L NORRIS
7%
O PIASTRI
6%
Notes

Winner Pick

Verstappen has been in red-hot form, winning the last two Singapore rounds, and Red Bull's power-unit efficiency should translate well to Mexico City's thin-air altitude demands where cooling and drag trade-offs favor their package.

Dark Horse

Isack Hadjar has been quietly consistent in the Red Bull sister seat and the long straights of the Autodromo Hermanos Rodriguez could let him capitalize on a strong qualifying slot if the top teams stumble in the tricky stadium section.

Risk Factor

Ferrari's Leclerc and Hamilton have been extremely strong on pure pace with multiple fastest laps, and if Verstappen's tire management falters on the abrasive, low-grip Mexico surface, a Ferrari 1-2 is entirely plausible.

Winner Pick

Max Verstappen remains the master of Mexico's high-altitude layout, utilizing Red Bull's efficient aero package to secure his victory.

Dark Horse

Liam Lawson has shown stellar consistency in the Racing Bulls, and his strong low-speed corner performance could yield a surprising top-6 finish.

Risk Factor

The high thermal degradation of tyres combined with low air density in Mexico City could trigger unexpected cooling failures or early graining.

Winner Pick

Verstappen is the pick because Mexico City’s altitude and long full-throttle sections should reward Red Bull’s efficiency, while recent form shows he remains the most consistent race-execution threat. With dry conditions forecast, the race is less likely to be disrupted by weather randomness.

Dark Horse

Hadjar is a sleeper for a strong points finish: Red Bull pace should translate well here, and he has been consistently around the lower top 10 recently. If cooling or tyre degradation catches out the midfield, he could move higher than expected.

Risk Factor

Ferrari is the biggest threat, especially Leclerc, who has shown excellent pace and recent fastest laps. If Ferrari nails qualifying and controls track position into Turn 1, Verstappen’s race could become much harder.

Winner Pick

Verstappen's Singapore victory and Red Bull's high-altitude engine strength position him as the Mexico favorite despite Antonelli's US win.

Dark Horse

Hulkenberg in the Audi could deliver a surprise points finish given the circuit's unique demands and recent midfield form.

Risk Factor

Even with low rain odds, any unexpected weather shift or Mercedes reliability edge could hand the win to Antonelli.