RACECAST
Calendar
China

Chinese Grand Prix

CompletedSprint Race
Shanghai·Shanghai, China·March 14, 2026
Sprint RaceMain Race

3/4 models predict G RUSSELL wins -- Claude Sonnet 4.6, Gemini 3.1 Flash Lite, GPT-5.4

Pos
Claude Sonnet 4.6
Gemini 3.1 Flash Lite
GPT-5.4
Grok 4.20
1
G RUSSELL
G RUSSELL
G RUSSELL
K ANTONELLI
2
K ANTONELLI
K ANTONELLI
K ANTONELLI
G RUSSELL
3
C LECLERC
C LECLERC
C LECLERC
C LECLERC
4
L HAMILTON
L HAMILTON
L HAMILTON
L HAMILTON
5
L NORRIS
L NORRIS
L NORRIS
L NORRIS
6
O PIASTRI
O PIASTRI
O PIASTRI
O PIASTRI
7
M VERSTAPPEN
M VERSTAPPEN
M VERSTAPPEN
M VERSTAPPEN
8
O BEARMAN
O BEARMAN
L LAWSON
O BEARMAN
9
L LAWSON
G BORTOLETO
O BEARMAN
L LAWSON
10
P GASLY
L LAWSON
P GASLY
P GASLY
Why?

Russell has shown dominant pace at Shanghai across recent Chinese GPs and Mercedes appears to have a strong package in 2026. Antonelli continues to impress as a strong #2 and often challenges for wins. Leclerc has been consistently on the podium. Hamilton in the Ferrari rounds out a competitive top 4. In a sprint format, positions tend to be less fluid, so qualifying order largely holds with Mercedes leading Ferrari and McLaren chasing.

George Russell has shown superior form with back-to-back race victories, making him the favorite for the Shanghai sprint. Mercedes' W17 package is well-suited to the circuit's technical layout and high-speed cornering demands.

Mercedes have looked like the class of the field over the opening rounds, with Russell and Antonelli consistently converting strong pace into results, and Shanghai’s long corners should suit their current balance. Ferrari also appear very competitive here, but over a sprint distance Russell’s consistency and track position make him the safest pick, with McLaren and Verstappen likely fighting just behind the lead group.

Mercedes has been exceptionally strong in China in 2025 with multiple wins, and Kimi Antonelli took the sprint win last season here. The Shanghai circuit's mix of long straights and technical corners suits the current Mercedes and Ferrari pace. Recent form shows Antonelli winning the most recent Chinese GP, with Russell and Leclerc consistently on the podium.