RACECAST
Calendar
China

Chinese Grand Prix

Completed
Shanghai·Shanghai, China·March 15, 2026
Sprint RaceMain Race

3/4 models predict G RUSSELL wins -- Claude Sonnet 4.6, Gemini 3.1 Flash Lite, GPT-5.4

Pos
Claude Sonnet 4.6
Gemini 3.1 Flash Lite
GPT-5.4
Grok 4.20
1
G RUSSELL
G RUSSELL
G RUSSELL
K ANTONELLI
2
K ANTONELLI
K ANTONELLI
K ANTONELLI
G RUSSELL
3
C LECLERC
C LECLERC
C LECLERC
C LECLERC
4
L HAMILTON
L NORRIS
L HAMILTON
L HAMILTON
5
L NORRIS
L HAMILTON
L NORRIS
L NORRIS
6
M VERSTAPPEN
M VERSTAPPEN
O PIASTRI
O PIASTRI
7
O BEARMAN
O BEARMAN
M VERSTAPPEN
M VERSTAPPEN
8
L LAWSON
O PIASTRI
O BEARMAN
O BEARMAN
9
P GASLY
L LAWSON
L LAWSON
L LAWSON
10
C SAINZ
P GASLY
P GASLY
P GASLY
FLK ANTONELLIG RUSSELLK ANTONELLIK ANTONELLI
Why?

Mercedes has been dominant at Shanghai in recent results, with Russell winning and Antonelli taking the most recent victory. The circuit suits Mercedes' setup characteristics. Russell leads the championship battle and has shown exceptional form. Antonelli continues to impress as a strong second driver. Leclerc and Hamilton round out the podium fight with Ferrari showing consistent pace. Norris and Verstappen are threats but McLaren and Red Bull have been a step behind Mercedes and Ferrari. Bearman continues to punch above his weight in the Haas.

George Russell has shown exceptional form in the opening rounds and thrives on front-running dominance. Mercedes appears to have a setup advantage at Shanghai, positioning Russell ahead of teammate Antonelli and the Ferrari of Leclerc.

Mercedes have started 2026 as the benchmark, with Russell winning twice and Antonelli also taking a victory at Shanghai, suggesting their package is already highly adaptable. Ferrari look like the closest challenger over a full race distance, while McLaren should be solid for points but have not yet shown the same winning consistency; Antonelli’s pace makes him a strong fastest-lap pick even if Russell edges the win.

Mercedes has dominated the opening races in 2026 with superior pace and race management. Kimi Antonelli won the most recent Chinese GP and shows strong form on the Shanghai circuit. Expect Mercedes to lock out the front row again with Ferrari close behind, while McLaren and Red Bull struggle to match the top pace.